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Aprea Therapeutics, Inc. (APRE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 results were about clinical execution and cost discipline: net loss narrowed to $3.0M (−$0.47/share) from $3.8M (−$0.64) YoY as R&D and G&A declined; cash was $13.7M with runway extended into Q4 2026 .
- APR-1051 (WEE1) showed additional early activity (3/4 stable disease at 100 mg QD) and escalated to 150 mg; ATRN-119 (ATR) identified a QD RP2D at 1,100 mg and shifted toward combinations (radiation and I/O) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS missed (−$0.47 vs −$0.34*) while revenue was de minimis grant funding (~$0.0018M vs $0.00*) given the clinical-stage profile .
- Stock reaction catalysts: 2026 milestones including APR-1051 Q1 safety/efficacy update and dose-escalation completion in Q2; ATRN-119 combination strategy progress following Q4 2025 RP2D (QD) designation .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Clinical progress: “emerging data on both of our clinical assets demonstrate evidence of activity,” including 3/4 patients with stable disease at 100 mg QD for APR-1051 and identification of RP2D 1,100 mg QD for ATRN-119 .
- Cost control and P&L improvement: operating loss improved YoY to $(3.1)M from $(4.1)M; R&D fell to $1.64M (from $2.85M YoY) and G&A to $1.48M (from $1.60M YoY) .
- Runway extension: cash of $13.7M with guidance extended into Q4 2026 (from prior Q2 2026) .
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What Went Wrong
- EPS missed consensus amid minimal revenue: −$0.47 vs −$0.34*; grant revenue was ~$0.0018M in Q3, reflecting limited non-dilutive income .
- ATRN-119 monotherapy paused: following RP2D (QD) determination, enrollment paused to reassess in combinations—strategic but introduces execution complexity and timing risk .
- Cash burn persisted (cash declined from $16.5M in Q2 to $13.7M in Q3) despite improved OpEx, highlighting financing risk beyond the current runway if timelines extend .
Financial Results
Income statement summary (USD)
Balance sheet and liquidity
Estimates vs. actuals (Q3 2025)
Note: Revenue reflects grant revenue typical of clinical-stage biotech operations.
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus.
Segment breakdown: Not applicable; the company reports as a single clinical-stage entity .
KPIs and operating progress
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: We searched for an earnings call transcript for Q3 2025 (Oct–Dec 2025) and found none in our document set.
Management Commentary
- “We’re encouraged by early signs of anti-tumor activity… including 3 out of 4 patients with stable disease in the 100 mg once daily cohort. We have recently advanced into the 150 mg once daily cohort as dose escalation in this trial continues.” — Oren Gilad, Ph.D., President & CEO (APR-1051) .
- “For ATRN-119, identifying the recommended Phase 2 dose for the once daily dosing provides a solid foundation for next-stage development… considering potential combination strategies, with radiation or checkpoint inhibitors…” — Oren Gilad, Ph.D. .
- “The Company believes its cash and cash equivalents… will be sufficient… into the fourth quarter of 2026.” .
Q&A Highlights
- No earnings call transcript was identified for Q3 2025 in our document set; no Q&A disclosures to report.
Estimates Context
- EPS missed S&P Global consensus: −$0.47 actual vs −$0.34* (two estimates*), driven by expected operating losses as a clinical-stage biotech with minimal grant revenue .
- Revenue was de minimis relative to a consensus of ~$0.00*, reflecting the absence of commercial products; no non-GAAP adjustments were presented .
- Estimate revisions: Given extended runway (into Q4 2026) and tighter OpEx, Street EPS loss trajectory may modestly improve, while revenue remains non-informative until late-stage readouts .
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- 2026 is the focal year: APR-1051 safety/efficacy update in Q1 and dose-escalation completion in Q2 can be meaningful stock catalysts; ATRN-119 combination strategy adds optionality .
- Clinical signals are accumulating at sub-maximal doses (APR-1051 3/4 SD at 100 mg; ATRN-119 RP2D QD determined), de-risking the pharmacology heading into 2026 .
- Operating discipline is visible (OpEx down, operating loss narrowed YoY) and runway extended to Q4 2026, but further capital will likely be required to fund combination expansions and later-stage trials .
- Watch for combination trial initiations/agreements (radiation in HPV+ HNSCC, I/O, ADCs) as incremental value inflection points .
- Scientific visibility is improving (dual EORTC‑NCI‑AACR posters), which can aid partnering discussions and investor sentiment .
- Near-term trading setup: limited financial catalysts; stock likely trades on clinical headlines (dose-escalation progress, combination study updates) and financing outlook .